Risk Rankings
Predictive
Watchlist
Early Warning
Trend View
6-Year Reports
Validation
v2→v3
States
Forecast
Feed Status
Investigative Flags
Three Views
SNA Graph
Critical Risk
—
Score ≥ 70 · Click to filter
High Risk
—
Score 55–69 · Click to filter
Elevated
—
Score 40–54 · Click to filter
Early Warning
—
Rising EWMA trend · Click to filter
Data Errors
—
Requires review · Click to filter
Ranked PHAs
Normalization Explorer
| # | Authority | Risk Score | Predictive | Tier | A | B | C | D | Flags |
|---|
PHA Deep Dive
Full Analysis
Select a PHA from the table to view detailed analysis
Risk Distribution by State
EWMA Score Trends — Top Risk PHAs
Normalization Explorer
Cross-PHA Investigative Flags
Data Feed Status
Divergent PHAs
—
PHAs Crawled
—
Total Scored
—
Divergence Alerts — Scraped Risk Not Seen by HUD
| # | PHA Code | Authority Name | State | HUD Designation | View A HUD Official |
View B Scraped Operational |
Gap Divergence |
|---|
Troubled High Confidence
—
Predictive ≥65
At-Risk
—
Predictive 55–64
Watchlist
—
Predictive 45–54
Ground Truth Match
—
Currently troubled captured
Predictive Rankings — v3 Scoring (B+C+D+F+G weighted)
Export CSV
| # | Authority | Predictive | Descriptive | Predicted Status | Ground Truth | Trend |
|---|
Watchlist — Predictive Score ≥45
Export CSV
| # | Authority | Predictive | Status | Ground Truth | Early Warning |
|---|
Congressional Troubled PHA Reports — 6-Year Analysis (FY2020–FY2025)
PHAs Missed by PRISM v2 (Now Caught by v3)
Model Validation — PRISM v3 vs Congressional Ground Truth
v2 → v3 Model Comparison
Early Warning Active
—
Rising EWMA trend
High Risk + Warning
—
Critical/High with rising trend
Predictive ≥55 + Warning
—
At-Risk with worsening trend
Intervention Window
—
Pre-troubled, actionable
Early Warning PHAs — Rising EWMA Trend Detected
Export CSV
| # | Authority | Descriptive | Predictive | Tier | Predicted Status | Trend | Ground Truth |
|---|
Optimistic (FY2031)
—
Best case scenario
Baseline (FY2031)
—
Expected trajectory
Pessimistic (FY2031)
—
Worst case scenario
5-Year Troubled PHA Forecast — FY2026 to FY2031
Pipeline Control
Pipeline controls load from Replit scheduler.