PRISM — PHA Risk Intelligence System Monitor

In Receivership

3

HUD Monitorship · Click for details

PHAs under direct federal monitorship or receivership. Substantial Default declared by HUD; Cure Monitors appointed.

Critical Risk

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Score ≥ 70 · Click to filter

Composite of 7 risk components exceeds 70. All major indicators — management, physical, financial, audit — near maximum.

High Risk

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Score 55–69 · Click to filter

Multiple risk components elevated. Typically Troubled-designated PHAs with poor physical or financial scores.

Elevated

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Score 40–54 · Click to filter

Two or more risk components flagged. May include low FASS scores, inspection failures, or audit findings.

Early Warning

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Rising EWMA trend · Click to filter

Financial trend rising ≥0.3 year-over-year or EWMA ≥4.0. Flags PHAs before they reach Troubled status.

Data Errors

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Requires review · Click to filter

FASS or PASS scores outside valid ranges. Data may be stale, misreported, or missing from HUD systems.

Ranked PHAs

Normalization Explorer

#	Authority	Risk Score	Predictive	Tier	A	B	C	D	Flags

PHA Deep Dive

Full Analysis

Select a PHA from the table to view detailed analysis

Risk Distribution by State

EWMA Score Trends — Top Risk PHAs

Normalization Explorer

Cross-PHA Investigative Flags

Data Feed Status

Divergent PHAs

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PHAs Crawled

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Total Scored

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Divergence Alerts — Scraped Risk Not Seen by HUD

#	PHA Code	Authority Name	State	HUD Designation	View A HUD Official	View B Scraped Operational	Gap Divergence

Troubled High Confidence

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Predictive ≥65

At-Risk

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Predictive 55–64

Watchlist

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Predictive 45–54

Ground Truth Match

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Currently troubled captured

Predictive Rankings — v3 Scoring (B+C+D+F+G weighted)

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#	Authority	Predictive	Descriptive	Predicted Status	Ground Truth	Trend

Watchlist — Predictive Score ≥45

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#	Authority	Predictive	Status	Ground Truth	Early Warning

Congressional Troubled PHA Reports — 6-Year Analysis (FY2020–FY2025)

PHAs Missed by PRISM v2 (Now Caught by v3)

Model Validation — PRISM v3 vs Congressional Ground Truth

v2 → v3 Model Comparison

Early Warning Active

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Rising EWMA trend

High Risk + Warning

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Critical/High with rising trend

Predictive ≥55 + Warning

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At-Risk with worsening trend

Intervention Window

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Pre-troubled, actionable

Early Warning PHAs — Rising EWMA Trend Detected

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#	Authority	Descriptive	Predictive	Tier	Predicted Status	Trend	Ground Truth

Optimistic (FY2031)

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Best case scenario

Baseline (FY2031)

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Expected trajectory

Adverse (FY2031)

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Stress case estimate

5-Year Troubled PHA Forecast — FY2026 to FY2031

Early Warning Overlay

Pipeline Control

Pipeline controls load from Replit scheduler.

PHAs Under HUD Receivership / Monitorship

Most severe enforcement category. Federal Cure Monitors appointed; direct HUD oversight of operations.

Total in Receivership

3

All Previously Troubled

3 of 3

Avg PHAS Score (last)

53

States Affected

AR, KS, NJ

Last Scrape Run

Pending

Combined Network Analysis — Receivership Cohort

SNA across all 3 receivership PHAs detects shared vendors, consultants, board overlap, and follow-the-money patterns. The engine cross-references entities extracted from scraped board minutes, audit reports, and procurement records to flag concentration risk that may have contributed to systemic failures.